Publications
Global projections of heat exposure of older adults
- More than 23% of the global population aged 69+ will inhabit climates where daily maximum temperature exceeds the critical threshold of 37.5 °C
- This will result in exposing an additional 177–246 million older adults to dangerous acute heat by 2050
SHARE-ENV: A Data Set to Advance Our Knowledge of the Environment–Wellbeing Relationship
- In this new database, called SHARE-ENV, individuals’ wellbeing is traced over time, along with the changes in the climate and environmental conditions they encountered during their lifetime.
- This novel database makes it possible to better understand the environment-wellbeing nexus in Europe.
Understanding systemic cooling poverty
- The poorest, who contributed the least to global warming, are the ones bearing the most severe consequences of extreme heat.
- Understanding the needs of the disadvantaged is imperative to develop fair and adequate adaptation strategies
Intensive and extensive margins of the peak load: Measuring adaptation with mixed frequency panel data
- We investigate the response of daily electricity peak load to daily maximum temperatures across states in Europe and India.
- Accommodating peak load in days with extreme temperatures will already be a challenge around 2050.
The Cooling Solution
- The Cooling Solution summarises for a broad public the main outcomes of the ENERGYA project combining it with the photography of Gaia Squarci.
- The Cooling Solution is a photographic exhibition, a book, and a website.
Adaptation to climate change: Air-conditioning and the role of remittances
Teresa Randazzo et al.
on Journal of Environmental Economics and Management Volume 120, 102818
- Remittances play an important role in the climate adaptation process of households.
- In presence of income constraints, remittance income facilitates the adoption of air-conditioning.
Air-conditioning adoption and electricity demand highlight climate change mitigation–adaptation tradeoffs
Francesco Colelli et al.
on Nature Scientific Reports, volume 13, Article number: 4413
- By 2050, AC expansion will reduce daily heat exposures by 150 million and 3.8 billion person degree-days
- However AC will also increase annual electricity demand by 34 TWh in Europe and 168 TWh in India
Increased energy use for adaptation significantly impacts mitigation pathways
- Energy needs for adaptation increase considerably over time and with warming
- Mitigation pathways accounting for the adaptation-energy feedback would require a higher global carbon price, between 5% and 30% higher
The role of climate datasets in understanding climate extremes
Malcolm Mistry
on Chapter in V.Ongoma & H.Tabari (Eds.), "Climate Impacts on Extreme Weather". Elsevier
20220701 X
Population-weighted degree-days: The global shift between heating and cooling
Malcolm Mistry et al.
on Energy and Buildings Volume 271, 15 September 2022, 112315
- Globally, population weighting substantially changes degree-days rate of change.
- For typical base temperatures, HDDs are falling at twice the rate that CDDs are increasing.
Distributional consequences of climate change impacts on residential energy demand across Italian households
Lorenza Campagnolo et al.
on Energy Economics Volume 110, 106020
- Climate change impacts have a regressive effect on electricity expenditure.
- A carbon tax exacerbates the regressivity of climate change impacts.
- Climate change increases electricity-related poverty by 373–462 thousand households.
Income-dependent expansion of electricity demand for climate change adaptation in Brazil
Francesco Colelli et al.
on Energy and Climate Change, Volume 3, 100071
- We identify how climate change will influence electricity demand in Brazil over the next 30 years
- Economic growth triples the additional energy demand required to adapt, with additional power demand varying remarkably by region and season
Possible influence of the warm pool ITCZ on compound climate extremes during the boreal summer
Malcolm Mistry et al.
on Environmental Research Letters, Volume 16, Number 11
- We find that compound climate extremes in the Northern Hemisphere during the boreal summer are interconnected from the tropics to the Arctic
Air-Conditioning and the adaptation cooling deficit in emerging economies
- As temperatures continue to rise, AC adoption rates will skyrocket over the next 20 years.
- By 2040 between 64 and 100 million households in India, Brasil, Mexico & Indonesia will not be able to afford the use of AC to cool themselves adequately
20211109 X
Residential electricity demand projections for Italy: A spatial downscaling approach
- In this paper, we present residential electricity demand for Italy downscaled at 1 km resolution in 2050.
- Changing patterns are driven by population density, GDP per capita and Cooling Degree Days.
20220101 X
Power systems’ performance under high renewables’ penetration rates: a natural experiment due to the COVID-19 demand shock
Francesco Colelli et al.
on Environmental Research Letters 16 064018
- We empirically investigate how power systems in 5 EU countries have dealt with the pandemic shock
- Results provide valuable evidence on current systems’ dynamics during high renewables’ shares and increased demand volatility
The role of residential air circulation and cooling demand for electrification planning: Implications of climate change in sub-Saharan Africa
- Large unmet cooling needs among energy poor households of Africa.
- Growing heat stress in the region due to climate change.
- Modeling scenario of cooling appliances uptake and use.
Sharing the burden: quantifying climate change spillovers in the European Union under the Paris Agreement
- This study uses spatial econometrics to account for the interdependencies between the subnational EU regions to estimate the future impacts of changes in temperature on sectoral labour productivity under the Paris Agreement
Impacts of a warmer world on space cooling demand in Brazilian households
Paula Borges et al.
on Energy and Buildings Volume 234, 110696
- Energy consumption for AC appliances are expected to increase as temperatures rises
- In all observed scenarios, energy use for AC increases up to 190%
- Weather parameters alone cannot directly translate energy consumption
Cooling demand in Integrated Assessment Models: a Methodological Review
- How do the IAMs include cooling and heating requirements in their projections?
- We systematically review and compare 88 scenarios of energy demand in commercial and residential buildings …
20200918 X
A High Spatiotemporal Resolution Global Gridded Dataset of Historical Human Discomfort Indices
- The dataset includes 8 daily indices at 0.25° × 0.25° gridded resolution spanning 49 years over the period 1970–2018
Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios.
- We analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale…
Air conditioning and electricity expenditure: The role of climate in temperate countries
- Our new study shows that owning and using an Air Conditioner greatly increases the electricity bills of households, with important implications for the energy poverty of the less well-off.
Can the Paris Agreement Support Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals?
Lorenza Campagnolo et al.
on Ancillary Benefits of Climate Policy
- This book chapter provides an ex-ante, quantitative assessment of the synergies and trade-offs between the implementation of the Paris Agreement and sustainable development.
Historical global gridded degree‐days: A high‐spatial resolution database of CDD and HDD
- A new high definition dataset dedicated to Degree Days from 1970 till 2018: Cooling Degree Days, Cooling Degree Days wet bulb, Heating degree Days
Building a Framework to Understand the Energy Needs of Adaptation
Marinella Davide et al.
on Sustainability 2019, 11(15), 4085
- We introduce a framework to identify the energy use associated with adaptation options identified in the Paris Agreement, relating them to the 2030 UN Agenda for sustainable development
Households’ adaptation in a warming climate. Air conditioning and thermal insulation choices
- This is the 1st analysis of Air Conditioning adoption in households in Europe till 2040 based OECD data: climate change, urbanization, wealth, presence of elderly & children are major drivers
Amplification of future energy demand growth due to climate change
- Global energy demand is expected to increase by 11-58% in 2050 because of climate change, with important regional differences.
A High-Resolution Global Gridded Historical Dataset of Climate Extreme Indices
- 71 Climate Extremes Indices in one new high resolution dataset, based on WMO and NASA GLDAS, suited for sectoral impacts assessment and hot spot analyses